Trump Signal Index — Macro View

Rising Index

New escalation signals entering the market. Check the underlying events — new threat or escalation of an existing one.

High & Stable (70–80)

Active standoff. Markets have priced in the risk but haven't resolved it. Watch for deadline events.

Falling Index

De-escalation in progress. A deal was announced or the threat didn't materialize. Rally potential — verify what caused the drop.